Sunday, January 31, 2010

Home Values Rose In November 2009 By Another 0.7 Percent

Home Price Index April 2007 to November 2009

 

Reporting on a two-month lag, the government said home values rose 0.7 percent in November. 

National home prices are at their highest point since February 2009.

But before we look too much into the FHFA's Home Price Index, it's important that we're cognizant of its shortcomings; the most important of which is its lack of real-time reporting.

According to the National Association of Realtors™, 80% of purchases close within 60 days. As a result, because of its two-month delay, the Home Price Index report actually trails today's market data by an entire sales cycle.

This is one reason why home values appear to be rising even while new data shows that both Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales fell flat last month.  The home valuation report is using data from November; the sales reports are using data from December.

The Home Price Index is a trailing indicator and next month, as the Spring Market gets underway, the government will be reporting data from the holidays.

The same is true for the Case-Shiller Index. It, too, operates on a 2-month lag.

All of that said, however, long-term trends do matter in housing and the Home Price Index has shown consistent improvement over the last 10 months.  In many markets, home sales are up, home supplies are down, and values have increased.  This trend should continue into the early part of 2010, at least.

If you're wondering whether now is a good time to buy a home , consider low prices, cheap mortgages and an available tax credit as three good incentives.  By May, none of them will likely be available.

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Thursday, January 28, 2010

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (January 27, 2010 Editi

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishThe Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

 

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy “has continued to strengthen”, that the jobs markets is getting better, and that financial markets are supportive of growth.

There was no mention of the housing market's strength.  The last 3 statements from the Fed included that specific verbiage.

It’s the fifth straight statement in which the Fed spoke about the economy with optimism.  This should signal to markets that 2008-2009 recession is over and that economic growth is returning to U.S. economy.

The economy isn’t without threats, however, and the Fed identified several in its press release, including:

  1. Credit remains tight for consumers
  2. Businesses are reluctant to hire new workers
  3. Housing wealth is down

The message’s overall tone, however, remained positive and inflation appears is still within tolerance.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period” and to wind down its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage market by March 31, 2010.  This is noteworthy because Fed insiders estimate that the bond-buying program suppressed mortgage rates by 1 percent through 2009.

Mortgage market reaction to the Fed press release is, in general, negative. Mortgage rates are rising this afternoon.

The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is March 16, 2010.

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A Rate-Locking Strategy Ahead Of The Fed's Meeting Today

Fed Funds Rate (Jan 2007 - Jan 2010)The Federal Open Market Committee ends a scheduled, 2-day meeting today in Washington. It's the first of 8 scheduled meetings for the policy-setting group in 2010.

The group adjourns at 2:15 PM ET.

As is customary, upon adjournment, the Fed will issue a press release to the markets recapping its views of the country's current economic condition, and the outlook for the near-term future.

The post-meeting statements from the Fed are brief but comprehensive. And Wall Street eats them up.  Every word, sentence and phrase is carefully dissected in the hope of gaining an investment edge over other active traders.

It's for this reason that mortgage rates tend to be jittery on days the FOMC adjourns. Wall Street is frantically re-balancing its bets.

Today should be no different.

The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent — the lowest it's been in history.  However, it's what the Fed says Wednesday that will matter more than what it does.

After the Fed's last meeting in December, it made several observations:

  1. The jobs market is getting "less worse"
  2. The housing sector is making improvements
  3. Financial markets are stabilizing further

The economy is gradually improving, the Fed told us, but there are still risks to the economy ahead.  Furthermore, inflation remains in check.

As compared to December's press release, today’s FOMC statement will be closely watched. If the Fed changes its verbiage in any way that alludes to strong growth and/or inflation in 2010, expect mortgage rates to rise as Wall Street moves its money from bonds to stocks.

Conversely, reference to slower growth in 2010 should lead rates lower.

We can't know what the Fed will say so if you’re floating a mortgage rate right now or wondering whether the time is right to lock, the safe approach would be to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. After that, what happens to rates is anyone's guess.

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A Rate-Locking Strategy Ahead Of The Fed's Meeting Today

Fed Funds Rate (Jan 2007 - Jan 2010)The Federal Open Market Committee ends a scheduled, 2-day meeting today in Washington. It's the first of 8 scheduled meetings for the policy-setting group in 2010.

The group adjourns at 2:15 PM ET.

As is customary, upon adjournment, the Fed will issue a press release to the markets recapping its views of the country's current economic condition, and the outlook for the near-term future.

The post-meeting statements from the Fed are brief but comprehensive. And Wall Street eats them up.  Every word, sentence and phrase is carefully dissected in the hope of gaining an investment edge over other active traders.

It's for this reason that mortgage rates tend to be jittery on days the FOMC adjourns. Wall Street is frantically re-balancing its bets.

Today should be no different.

The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent — the lowest it's been in history.  However, it's what the Fed says Wednesday that will matter more than what it does.

After the Fed's last meeting in December, it made several observations:

  1. The jobs market is getting "less worse"
  2. The housing sector is making improvements
  3. Financial markets are stabilizing further

The economy is gradually improving, the Fed told us, but there are still risks to the economy ahead.  Furthermore, inflation remains in check.

As compared to December's press release, today’s FOMC statement will be closely watched. If the Fed changes its verbiage in any way that alludes to strong growth and/or inflation in 2010, expect mortgage rates to rise as Wall Street moves its money from bonds to stocks.

Conversely, reference to slower growth in 2010 should lead rates lower.

We can't know what the Fed will say so if you’re floating a mortgage rate right now or wondering whether the time is right to lock, the safe approach would be to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday. After that, what happens to rates is anyone's guess.

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Wednesday, January 27, 2010

Existing Home Sales Plummet In December, But It Was Expected

Existing Home Sales Dec 2008-Dec 2009Just one month after from blowing away Wall Street, December's Existing Home Sales hit the skids, shedding nearly 17 percent and falling to a 4-month low.

Don't be alarmed, though. The plunge was expected. And not just because Pending Home Sales cratered last month.

When November's Existing Home Sales surged, it was clear to observers that an expiring $8,000 federal tax credit was the catalyst. At the time, the tax program was slated to expire November 30 and the looming deadline pushed a lot of would-be buyers from a December time frame into November.

The expiration date has a cannibalizing effect on December's sales figures. It was only later that Congress extended the tax credit to June 30, 2010.

So, with home sales plunging in December, it's no surprise that home supplies rose for the first time in 9 months.  Home Supply is calculating by dividing the number of homes for sale by the current sales pace.

The national housing supply now rests at 7.2 months.

Despite December's Existing Home Sales report appearing shaky, it's actually terrific new for home buyers.

See, for the past few months, as housing has been improving, sellers nationwide have been bombarded by messages of "hot markets" and rising home prices by the media.  Psychologically, a seller is more likely to hold firm on price if he believes the housing market is improving and now December's data is deflating that argument.

This is why we say there's always two sides to a housing story -- the buyers' side and the sellers' side. And, usually, what's good for one party is bad for the other. It's what we're seeing now.

Because of soft data like December's Existing Home Sales, buyers may retake some negotiation leverage that's been lost since Spring 2009, helping to improve home affordability and, perhaps, spur more sales.

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Friday, January 22, 2010

How to AVOID Haiti Scams

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Housing Permits Spike For The Second Straight Month

Housing Starts Jan 2008-Dec 2009A "Housing Start" is a privately-owned home on which construction has started. It's an important gauge of housing health because it tracks new housing stock nationwide.

In December 2009, starts fell by nearly 7 percent.

The news is mildly disappointing but not too bad. The likely cause for the Housing Starts drop is December's rough weather conditions. It's tough to break ground when Mother Nature won't coordinate and last month was especially hazardous in a lot of parts of the country.

More cheery, however, is that for the second straight month, Housing Permits exploded. 

A housing permit is an certification from local government that authorizes construction. After posting a 7 percent gain in November, permits rose by another 8 percent in December.

It's a signal that housing is, indeed, in recovery -- despite the falling number of actual starts. More permits mean that builders plan to bring more homes on the market for what's expected to be a very busy spring home-shopping season.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.  Therefore, Housing Starts should start rising soon anyway.

For home buyers, the news couldn't be better. 

With more homes coming online, competition among home sellers should increase, and that will suppress the rise in home prices nationwide. 

It's basic economics.  When home supplies grow faster than home demand, prices fall.

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Housing Permits Spike For The Second Straight Month

Housing Starts Jan 2008-Dec 2009A "Housing Start" is a privately-owned home on which construction has started. It's an important gauge of housing health because it tracks new housing stock nationwide.

In December 2009, starts fell by nearly 7 percent.

The news is mildly disappointing but not too bad. The likely cause for the Housing Starts drop is December's rough weather conditions. It's tough to break ground when Mother Nature won't coordinate and last month was especially hazardous in a lot of parts of the country.

More cheery, however, is that for the second straight month, Housing Permits exploded. 

A housing permit is an certification from local government that authorizes construction. After posting a 7 percent gain in November, permits rose by another 8 percent in December.

It's a signal that housing is, indeed, in recovery -- despite the falling number of actual starts. More permits mean that builders plan to bring more homes on the market for what's expected to be a very busy spring home-shopping season.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance.  Therefore, Housing Starts should start rising soon anyway.

For home buyers, the news couldn't be better. 

With more homes coming online, competition among home sellers should increase, and that will suppress the rise in home prices nationwide. 

It's basic economics.  When home supplies grow faster than home demand, prices fall.

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Thursday, January 21, 2010

Spring 2010 FHA Guidelines Make Borrowing Tougher And More Expensive

New FHA guidelinesSecuring an FHA mortgage in California is about to get more expensive.

In a statement issued Wednesday, the Federal Housing Authority outlined policy changes to its mortgage assistance program. The shift is meant to both reduce the government group's portfolio risk while strengthening its overall financials.

For consumers, the changes mean higher costs.

As listed in the official announcement, there are 3 major guideline updates for the FHA:

  1. Upfront mortgage insurance premiums are increasing to 2.25% from 1.75%
  2. Minimum downpayments for applicants with sub-580 FICOs are rising to 10 percent
  3. Seller concessions are being limited to 3%, down from today's allowable 6%

Furthermore, the FHA has appealed to Congress to raise an FHA borrowers' monthly mortgage insurance premiums.

To read the FHA's statement, it's clear what the group is trying to balance.  On one side, the FHA wants to provide affordable financing to families that need it. That's its mission statement. On the other side, though, the FHA must manage the risk that comes with insuring lesser-quality loans.

To that end, the FHA is stepping up its enforcement of "bad lenders" in hopes of stopping problems where they start.

Also in its new policies, the FHA is introducing a "termination clause". If banks or loan officers that produce more than their fair share of bad loans, they lose their right to originate FHA mortgages.

As a result, homebuyers should expect tougher FHA underwriting in 2010. Not because the FHA says so, necessarily, but because banks don't want to do "bad loans".  Lenders are incented to turn down at-risk applicants and, already, we're seeing examples of this. Despite FHA allowing 580 FICOs and lower, many banks have made 620 their minimum.

Some have other guideline overlays, too.

The FHA's new guidelines don't go into effect until spring.  So, between now and then, the old guidelines will apply.  Therefore, if you know you're going to need an FHA home loan in the next few months, consider moving up your time-frame.

If nothing else, you'll save some money at closing.

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More Indepth Information regarding the New Credit Card Act

Release Date: January 12, 2010

For immediate release

The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday approved a final rule amending Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) to protect consumers who use credit cards from a number of costly practices. Credit card issuers must comply with most aspects of the rule beginning on February 22.

"This rule marks an important milestone in the Federal Reserve's efforts to ensure that consumers who rely on credit cards are treated fairly," said Federal Reserve Governor Elizabeth A. Duke.  "The rule bans several harmful practices and requires greater transparency in the disclosure of the terms and conditions of credit card accounts."

Among other things, the rule will:

  • Protect consumers from unexpected increases in credit card interest rates by generally prohibiting increases in a rate during the first year after an account is opened and increases in a rate that applies to an existing credit card balance.
  • Prohibit creditors from issuing a credit card to a consumer who is younger than the age of 21 unless the consumer has the ability to make the required payments or obtains the signature of a parent or other cosigner with the ability to do so.
  • Require creditors to obtain a consumer's consent before charging fees for transactions that exceed the credit limit.
  • Limit the high fees associated with subprime credit cards.
  • Ban creditors from using the "two-cycle" billing method to impose interest charges.
  • Prohibit creditors from allocating payments in ways that maximize interest charges.

In December 2008, the Federal Reserve adopted final regulations prohibiting unfair credit card practices and improving the disclosures consumers receive in connection with credit card accounts. This rule amends aspects of those regulations to implement provisions of the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act of 2009 (Credit Card Act), which was enacted in May 2009.

The final rule represents the second stage of the Federal Reserve's implementation of the Credit Card Act. On July 15, 2009, the Board issued an interim rule implementing the provisions of the Credit Card Act that went into effect on August 20, 2009. In addition to finalizing that interim rule, this rule implements the provisions of the Credit Card Act that go into effect on February 22, 2010. The remaining provisions of the Credit Card Act go into effect on August 22, 2010 and will be implemented by the Federal Reserve at a later date.

Consumers can learn more about changes to their credit card accounts by accessing a new online publication. "What You Need to Know: New Credit Card Rules." It explains key changes consumers can expect from their credit card companies as a result of the new rules. The Board plans to release additional "What You Need to Know" publications in conjunction with other major rulemakings.

The notices that will be published in the Federal Register are attached.

Federal Register notice--Regulation Z, Final Rule (4.3 MB PDF)

Federal Register notice--Regulation Z, Final Rule 2 (11 KB PDF)

Federal Register notice--Regulation AA, Final Rule (11 KB PDF)

Technical Specifications Document (43 KB PDF)

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Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Credit Cards Increase Fee's Ahead of Reform

There's 100 Days Left To Claim The Homebuyer Tax Credit

100 days remain for the Home Buyer Tax Credit ExpirationNovember 6, 2009, Congress voted to extend and expand the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program. There's 100 days left to claim it. The expiration date of the up-to-$8,000 tax credit has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers to be under contract for a home no later than April 30, 2010, and to be closed no later than June 30, 2010. In addition, "move-up" buyers were also added to the program's eligibility list meaning you don't have to be a first-time home buyer to be eligible for the tax credit. If you've lived in your home for 5 of the last 8 years, you meet the IRS requirements. Move-up buyers are capped at a total tax credit of $6,500. The tax credit's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

  • You can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  • You can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
  • You can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  • All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however. First, the subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000. Homes sold for more than $800,000 are ineligible. And, also, household income thresholds have been raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filers. And lastly, don't forget that the program is a true tax credit -- not a deduction. This means that a tax filer who's eligible for the full $8,00 credit and whose "normal" tax liability totals $5,000 would receive a $3,000 refund from the U.S. Treasury at tax time. The complete list of qualifying criteria is . Review it with a tax professional to determine your eligibility. Then mark your calendar for April 30, 2010. There's just 100 days to go.

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Tuesday, January 19, 2010

The Skinniest Home In the City Sells for $2.1 Million

Skinny car is wider than a houseThe next time you think you've outgrown your home, imagine what life would be like in New York City's "skinniest home". It's barely wider than your wingspan. In Greenwich Village, there's a single-family, 3-story residence in which the interior living space width measures just 8 1/2-feet. By way of reference, that's 4 inches more narrow than the Smart Fortwo electric automobile. Even the home's USPS street address hints at its size. Built on an alleyway, nestled between 75 Bedford Street and 77 Bedford Street, the diminutive home is officially known as 75 1/2 Bedford. It just sold for $2.1 million. Meanwhile, big price tags for little homes is nothing new. In 2008, the "Little House" in Toronto sold for the equivalent of $511 per square foot. (Image courtesy: Wikipedia)

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Monday, January 18, 2010

California Sees Dramatic Decline in Foreclosure Activity

California Sees Dramatic Decline in Foreclosure Activity 01/15/2010 California foreclosure activity plummeted in December, especially when looked at on a daily average basis, according to the monthly California Foreclosure Report recently released by ForeclosureRadar, a Website devoted to tracking every California foreclosure. Notices of default dropped 17.5 percent in aggregate, but they actually dropped 32.5 percent on a daily average basis. This percentage difference is due to that fact that December had 22 days on which documents were recorded, versus only 18 in November. In addition, notice of trustee sale filings dropped 23 percent. ForeclosureRadar said this is not simply a regular season decline, as it has not seen a similar drop in recent years. “The dramatic drop in foreclosure activity may have been a Christmas gift to homeowners,” said Sean O’Toole, founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar. “However, given rising mortgage delinquencies, it is becoming increasingly clear that foreclosure activity no longer fully represents market realities.” On an average daily basis, cancellations only increased 3.5 percent. Given the Obama administration’s drive to make trial loan modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program permanent, this was a smaller increase than expected. Based on the timing of these cancellations, ForeclosureRadar believes 21 percent were cancelled due to statutory requirement that a foreclosure sale be held within one year, thus forcing a cancellation. In addition, tracking Website estimates 61.9 percent were likely due to some form of loan workout, and 17.1 were more likely the result of a filing error. On a month-to-month basis, pre-foreclosure properties and foreclosure properties scheduled for sale decreased, but year-over-year these inventories saw huge gains. In December, pre-foreclosure properties fell 0.4 percent from the prior month but jumped 55.12 percent from December 2008. In addition, foreclosure properties scheduled for sale fell 2.64 percent from November but surged 117.52 percent year-over-year. However, REO properties did the opposite. Compared to November, REO properties increased 3.41 percent in December but plummeted 34.89 percent from the prior year. Foreclosures that went back-to-bank declined 28 percent, and those that sold to third parties fell 41.8 percent. A significant decline in foreclosure discounting by lenders appears to be the reason for such a dramatic drop in sales to third parties, ForeclosureRadar said. For most of the last year lenders discounted the opening bid from the amount that they were owed by nearly 40 percent, but in December, that discount dropped to 33.7 percent. In addition, the percentage of sales that were discounted declined from nearly 90 percent in December 2008 to just 75 percent in December 2009. BY: BRITTANY DUNN of DSNews

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Sunday, January 17, 2010

Temporary Halt to the 90 Day Anti-Flip Law

HUD No. 10-011 Lemar Wooley (202) 708-0685 FOR RELEASE Friday January 15, 2010 HUD TAKES ACTION TO SPEED RESALE OF FORECLOSED PROPERTIES TO NEW OWNERS Measure to help bring stability to home values and accelerate sale of vacant properties WASHINGTON - In an effort to stabilize home values and improve conditions in communities where foreclosure activity is high, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan today announced a temporary policy that will expand access to FHA mortgage insurance and allow for the quick resale of foreclosed properties. The announcement is part of the Obama administration commitment to addressing foreclosure. Just yesterday, Secretary Donovan announced $2 billion in Neighborhood Stabilization Program grants to local communities and nonprofit housing developers to combat the effects of vacant and abandoned homes. "As a result of the tightened credit market, FHA-insured mortgage financing is often the only means of financing available to potential homebuyers," said Donovan. "FHA has an unprecedented opportunity to fulfill its mission by helping many homebuyers find affordable housing while contributing to neighborhood stabilization." With certain exceptions, FHA currently prohibits insuring a mortgage on a home owned by the seller for less than 90 days. This temporary waiver will give FHA borrowers access to a broader array of recently foreclosed properties. "This change in policy is temporary and will have very strict conditions and guidelines to assure that predatory practices are not allowed," Donovan said. In today's market, FHA research finds that acquiring, rehabilitating and the reselling these properties to prospective homeowners often takes less than 90 days. Prohibiting the use of FHA mortgage insurance for a subsequent resale within 90 days of acquisition adversely impacts the willingness of sellers to allow contracts from potential FHA buyers because they must consider holding costs and the risk of vandalism associated with allowing a property to sit vacant over a 90-day period of time. The policy change will permit buyers to use FHA-insured financing to purchase HUD-owned properties, bank-owned properties, or properties resold through private sales. This will allow homes to resell as quickly as possible, helping to stabilize real estate prices and to revitalize neighborhoods and communities. "FHA borrowers, because of the restrictions we are now lifting, have often been shut out from buying affordable properties," said FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens. "This action will enable our borrowers, especially first-time buyers, to take advantage of this opportunity." The waiver will take effect on February 1, 2010 and is effective for one year, unless otherwise extended or withdrawn by the FHA Commissioner. To protect FHA borrowers against predatory practices of "flipping" where properties are quickly resold at inflated prices to unsuspecting borrowers, this waiver is limited to those sales meeting the following general conditions: All transactions must be arms-length, with no identity of interest between the buyer and seller or other parties participating in the sales transaction. In cases in which the sales price of the property is 20 percent or more above the seller's acquisition cost, the waiver will only apply if the lender meets specific conditions. The waiver is limited to forward mortgages, and does not apply to the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) for purchase program. Specific conditions and other details of this new temporary policy are in the text of the waiver, available on HUD's website.

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melissa@therealestategeeks.net has shared something with you

Temporary Waiver to the 90 Day Anti Flip Law

http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page/portal/HUD/press/press_releases_media_advisories/2010/HUDNo.10-011

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Friday, January 15, 2010

Snag a great Investment

msnbc.com video: Snag a great investment bargain

msnbc.com video: Snag a great investment bargain

Snag a great investment bargain

Jan. 6: CNBC’s Ron Insana, author of “How to Make a Fortune From the Biggest Bailout in U.S. History,” has tips for gaining back some of the investments your retirement savings may have lost in the last year.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/34724700#34724700 

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RealtyTrac’s 2009 Foreclosure Report Gives Reason For Optimism

RealtyTrac’s 2009 Foreclosure Report Gives Reason For Optimism

Posted by melissa · Leave a Comment 

Foreclosure deltas for the ten most foreclosure-heavy states of 2009

Like real estate, it appears that foreclosure activity is a local phenomenon, too.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of all foreclosure-related activity in 2009 came from just 4 states:

  1. California
  2. Florida
  3. Arizona
  4. Illinois

More than 1.4 million filings made in 2009 are attributed to the above states. Furthermore, each ranks in the Top 10 for 2009 Foreclosures Per Capita.

The other states are Nevada, Utah, Georgia, Idaho, Michigan and Colorado.

Versus 2008, foreclosures are up 21 percent nationwide and that’s a big number, but a deeper look at RealtyTrac’s annual reports reveals a more positive undertone on the housing market.

  1. 40 states fell below the national Foreclosures Per Capita average in 2009
  2. Foreclosure activity fell on an annual basis in 10 states as compared to 2008

Foreclosures are still prevalent, though, and buying homes in foreclosure continues to be big business.  First-time buyers, move-up buyers, and real estate investors each are bidding aggressively.

Distressed homes account for , according to an industry trade group.

That said, buying foreclosures can be tricky.

First, properties are often sold “as-is” and the cost of repairs may unwind the home’s status as a “value buy”.  Furthermore, a lender may require specific fixes to be made prior to closing and that, too, costs money.

Second, buying a foreclosed home in California isn’t as streamlined as buying a “normal” home. Closing on a foreclosure can be a 120-day process or longer. A 4-month time-frame may not fit your schedule.

And, third, finding foreclosures can be difficult. Despite the growth in foreclosure search engines, it still takes a good real estate agent to uncover the best homes at the best prices.

Read the complete foreclosure report and take a peek at RealtyTrac’s foreclosure heat maps.  If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.

There’s still good deals in the foreclosure market — you just have to know where to find them

For more information on buying a home to live in or an investment property give us a call today 714-720-2555 The Real Estate Geeks

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Thursday, January 14, 2010

Retail Sales Dropped In December And Now So Are Mortgage Rates

Retail Sales Dropped In December And Now So Are Mortgage Rates

Retail Sales Dropped In December And Now So Are Mortgage Rates

Posted by melissa · Leave a Comment 

Retail Sales December 2009

Mortgage rates are dropping this morning on weaker-than-expected Retail Sales data from December. Lower rates means more bang for your home-buying buck.

Excluding motor vehicles and parts, December’s “ex-auto” sales receipts were down roughly $500 million from November. Analysts had expected receipts to grow.

The relevance of Retail Sales to home affordability isn’t obvious, but it’s definitely logical.

Retail Sales is directly related to consumer spending and consumer spending accounts for the majority of the U.S. economy. When consumer spending slows, the economy often does, too. It leads investors to seek out “safe” investments.

It’s the reason why stock markets often drop on weak economic data — stocks are among the riskiest investment classes available.

Conversely, the best place to find safety is in the market of government-backed bonds.  This world includes products like U.S. Treasuries and many of the mortgage-backed bonds that help set mortgage rates.  Weak economic data puts mortgage bonds in demand.

For rate shopper, this is good news.  More demand for mortgage bonds causes mortgage rates to fall.  Mortgage rates are lower this morning because Wall Street is shedding some risk.

December’s Retail Sales report closes out a year of generally-weak data.  2009 marks just the second time that Retail Sales fell year-over-year since the government started tracking it 40 years ago.  The other year was 2008.

For home buyers around the country, though, today may represent an opportune time to lock a mortgage rate.  Housing data is still improving and other economic indicators are showing strength.  Soon, Wall Street will shift from a “safe” mentality and move toward risk.

When it does, mortgage rates will rise.

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Administration Completes Implementation of HFA Initiative

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

10 Cities For Home Bargains

As the housing market improves across the country, certain cities are emerging as relative bargains. Some areas, like Miami, were hit hard by the recession, and other areas are buoyed by good school systems and strong labor markets.
In this 5-minute video from The Today Show, 10 cities are highlighted for their home prices. And they’re not “small towns”, either.
Among the featured cities:
Miami, Florida
Akron, Ohio
Tuscon, Arizona
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Trenton, New Jersey
Now, this piece is about finding gems on a national scale. They exist locally , too. You just need to know what to look for.
With mortgage rates low and tax credits available, it’s not likely that bargains will last.

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