he Real Estate Geeks: Pending Home Sales Point To Seller's Market This Summer

The National Association of REALTORS® Pending Home Sales Index rose for the third straight month last month.

A "pending home sale" is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed.

The Pending Home Sales Index rose 5 percent in March, posting its second-highest reading since April 2010. Not coincidentally, that month marked the expiration of last year's federal home buyer tax credit.

Home buyers and sellers would do well to watch the Pending Home Sales Index each month. This is because -- unlike most government and private data -- the Pending Home Sales Index is a "forward-looking" indicator.

Because 80% of "pending" homes close within 2 months, and a significant share of the rest close within months 3 and 4, the Pending Home Sales Index tends to correlate to future strength (or weakness) in housing.

The Pending Home Sales Index, in other words, is an excellent precursor to the Existing Home Sales report, issued monthly.

By region, the Pending Home Sales Index varied last month.

• Northeast : -3.2% from February
• Southeast : +10.3% from February
• Midwest : +3.0% from February
• West : +3.1% from February

All 4 regions were worse from a year ago.

As with everything in housing, however, we must remember that real estate is neither national, nor regional. It's local. Sales volume may be higher in areas like the Midwest, but that doesn't mean that all Midwest markets are experiencing similar gains, if any gains at all.

To get local real estate data , talk to a real estate agent that specializes in that area. It's the best way to know what's happening on the street level.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks: New Home Supply Falls To 16-Year Low

After posting an all-time low in February, New Home Sales rebounded strongly last month.

Based on joint research from the Census Bureau and HUD, 300,000 new, single-family homes were sold on a seasonally-adjusted, annualized basis in March. It's an 11 percent improvement from February, and right in-line with the 6-month average.

The supply of available new homes improved, too, in March, falling by close to a full month.

At the current pace of sales, the entire new home housing stock would be sold in 7.3 months. This is the second-best reading in a year, a statistic partially-supported by the relatively small number of new homes on the market.

There are now just 183,000 new homes available for sale. That's the smallest reading since the Census Bureau started to keep New Home Sales records beginning in 1995.

However, it should be noted that the March New Home Sales data is suspect. The reading's margin of error exceeds it actual measurement by almost double. It's possible that sales volume fell in March instead of rising, therefore. The Census Bureau says as much in its footnotes:

The change [in new home sales] is not statistically significant; that is, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease [in March 2011].

We won't know for certain until future data revisions are made.

If you're a home buyer , though, and want to stay ahead of the market, you won't want to take chances. If the Census Bureau finds its data to be accurate after revisions are made, new home prices will already have started to rise.

You may get your best home value by buying sooner rather than later.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks: Mortgage Rates -- And Home Affordability -- At The Whim Of The Federal Reserve

The Federal Open Market Committee starts a two-day meeting today, the third of its 8 scheduled meetings this year.

The FOMC is a special, 12-person committee within the Federal Reserve. It's led by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the group is responsible for voting on our nation's monetary policy. This includes setting the Fed Funds Rate, the rate at which banks borrow money from each other overnight.

The general public tends to confuse the Fed Funds Rate for "mortgage rates" but, as shown in the chart at top, the two interest rates are very different. There is no direct correlation between the Fed Funds Rate and everyday mortgage rates.

Since 1990, the two benchmark rates have been separated by as much as 5.29 percent, and have been as close as 0.52 percent.

Today, the separation between the Fed Funds Rate and the national average for a standard, 30-year fixed rate mortgage is 4.625 percent. This spread will widen -- or shrink -- beginning 12:30 PM ET Wednesday. That's when the FOMC adjourns and releases its public statement to the markets.

According to Wall Street, there's a 100% chance that the FOMC leaves the Fed Funds Rate in its current "target range" of 0.000-0.250 percent, the same range in which it's been since December 2008. Depending on the verbiage in the press release, plus the comments of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in his scheduled, 2:15 PM ET press briefing, mortgage rates aren't expected to steady as well.

If the Fed projects higher growth in late-2011/early-2012, or hints at new market stimuli, expect mortgage rates to rise on concerns about inflation. Inflation is bad for mortgage rates, in general.

On the other hand, if the Fed indicates that the economy is slowing down, or that it plans to withdraw its existing, $600 billion bond market stimulus, look for mortgage rates to fall.

It's hard to be a home buyer when the Federal Open Market Committee meets. There's just so much that can change mortgage rates and rising mortgage rates can affect purchasing power in a flash.

In the 6 months since November 2010, home affordability is off 9%.

So, if you're shopping for mortgages, or just floating a rate, consider getting locked in before the FOMC issues its press release Wednesday. Once the statement hits, mortgage rates could soar.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks: How To Make More Space In Your Garage

How do you use your garage? If you're like most homeowners, you park your car(s) in it, then use the remaining available space for the random storage of "things that don't go in the house". 

Your garage can do so much more -- all it needs is a little bit of organization.

In this 4-minute video from Lowe's YouTube series, you'll see how cabinetry, shelving, hooks and a master plan can add purpose to the non-car areas of your garage, and help you "make space". You'll even de-clutter parts of your home.

The video is rife with pointers for doing your garage right, including:

• How to create "storage zones" of exactly the right size
• How to organize sporting goods for easy access and optimal space-saving
• Where to place trash receptacles, garden equipment, and seasonal decorations

According to the video, building out a garage should be a weekend project. You may finish faster, or slower, however, depending on the complexity and size of your garage and your storage needs.

Finishing a garage creates "space" -- a helpful addition to any home. In addition, it enhances a home's appeal to prospective buyers. Use the video above as a starting point and inspiration, and consider shopping storage specialty stores to finish out your project.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks: Demand Is Rising, Supplies Are Falling : Home Prices Set To Rise?

Home resales rose 4 percent last month, according to the March Existing Home Sales report. A total of 5.1 million homes were sold on an annualized, seasonally-adjusted basis.

The strong results re-establish the national, long-term trend toward rising home resales.

March marked the 6th month out of eight in which sales volume has increased and sales are up 32 percent from July 2010 lows.

Home supply has resumed its downward trajectory, too.

At the current pace of sales, the entire home resale inventory would be depleted in 8.4 months. This is 0.1 months faster as compared to February, and a full month faster than the 12-month average.

The Existing Home Sales report also included a breakdown by buyer-type.

• First-time buyers bought 33% of homes, down from 34% in February
• Repeat buyers bought 45% of homes, down from 47% in February
• Investors bought 22% of homes, up from 19% in February

35 percent of buyers paid in cash.

And, perhaps most noteworthy, according to the National Association of REALTORS®, 40 percent of March home resales were "distressed properties". Distressed homes include foreclosures, short sales, and REO and typically sell at discounts "in the vicinity" of 20 percent.

Home prices are based on the basic economic theory of Supply and Demand. So, with home supplies dropping and demand for homes rising, it's reasonable to expect home values to rise later this year.

If you're in the market for a home, play the recent trends to your advantage. Today, homes are affordable and mortgage rates are low. This may not be the case later this year. The best "deals" of the year may be what you buy now.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks

The Real Estate Geeks - As Buyer Traffic Grows, Homebuilder Confidence Slips

Homebuilder confidence is falling -- a good sign for buyers of newly-built homes.

According to the National Association of Homebuilders, the Housing Market Index slipped one point to 16 in April. It's the 5th time in 6 months that the index read 16 -- a figure exactly in line with the 1-year average, but still considered "poor". The Housing Market Index reports on a scale of 1-100.

Values of 50 or better representing "favorable conditions". Values below 50 are considered "unfavorable".

It's been 5 years since the Housing Market Index read north of 50.

As an index, the HMI is actually a composite of three separate surveys, the results of which can be as telling as the final, compiled results. The surveys focus on specific aspects about a homebuilder's business, and use the broader responses to gauge overall market "sentiment".

The 3 questions are: 

1. How are market conditions for the sale of new homes today?
2. How are market conditions for the sale of new homes in 6 months?
3. How is prospective buyer foot traffic?

In April, interestingly, home builders felt market conditions were worse across the board, but still cited higher buyer foot traffic. This may be the result of a combination of rising mortgage rates and falling home values. Both tend to be bad for builders, and both tend to spur home buyers into action.

As a home buyer this spring, therefore, use the HMI data to your advantage. When home builders feel less confident on housing, buyers can often exact better concessions and/or upgrades during the negotiation process.

And, so long as mortgage rates continue to rise, that pressure on builders should build.

Thanks for checking out our videos & blogs - Our time is dedicated your buying & selling needs. Call or click - but contact us today For more current real estate market information just visit our website at http:www.TheRealEstateGeeksTv.com

If you or someone you know is facing foreclosure here's tons of FREE information that will be very useful - http:www.Help4Ca.com until Till Next Time

Take Care, Melissa Bayles (714) 720-2555 & "Chip" Richard Esajian (714) 272-5369 The Real Estate Geeks

Posted via email from The Real Estate Geeks